{"id":1652,"date":"2018-10-04T16:47:21","date_gmt":"2018-10-04T20:47:21","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/?p=1652"},"modified":"2018-10-05T16:54:21","modified_gmt":"2018-10-05T20:54:21","slug":"why-trade-deficits-arent-so-bad","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/2018\/10\/04\/why-trade-deficits-arent-so-bad\/","title":{"rendered":"Why trade deficits aren&#8217;t so bad"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/239360\/original\/file-20181004-52695-1austo5.jpg?ixlib=rb-1.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=754&amp;fit=clip\" alt=\"File 20181004 52695 1austo5.jpg?ixlib=rb 1.1\" \/><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/william-d-lastrapes-159364\">By William D. Lastrapes | October 4, 2018<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Most Americans seem to think international trade deficits are a bad thing.<\/p>\n<p>A March poll, for example, <a href=\"https:\/\/harvardharrispoll.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/04\/HHP_March2018_Presentation_v3.pdf\">showed<\/a> that more than two-thirds think the U.S. should take steps to reduce the trade deficit with China, even if a resulting trade war drives up consumer prices.<\/p>\n<p>That\u2019s in large part because of the notion <a href=\"http:\/\/www.trumptwitterarchive.com\/archive\/trade%20&amp;&amp;%20deficit\/ffff\">expressed<\/a> by some that the U.S. is \u201closing\u201d if it has a trade deficit, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.aei.org\/publication\/trade-deficits-are-a-weak-reason-to-fight-a-trade-war\/\">one of the main justifications<\/a> used for fighting a trade war with China.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/scholar.google.com\/citations?user=V8nHvIYAAAAJ&amp;hl=en&amp;oi=ao\">As I\u2019ll explain<\/a>, such a notion is bad economics.<\/p>\n<h2>Comparative advantage<\/h2>\n<p>One of the first things budding economists learn is the principle of \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.econlib.org\/library\/Topics\/Details\/comparativeadvantage.html\">comparative advantage<\/a>.\u201d A country has a comparative advantage when it can produce a product or service more cheaply than others.<\/p>\n<p>For example, the U.S. specializes in producing wheat because it is cheaper to do so here than in Japan, while Japan specializes in producing cars for the same reason. Specialization with trade allows consumers in both countries to buy more wheat and more cars.<\/p>\n<p>Much <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1257\/jep.32.2.25\">economic research<\/a> has shown that when countries trade with each other, global wealth grows, and all countries gain.<\/p>\n<h2>What this means for trade deficits<\/h2>\n<p>Policies that aim to reduce trade deficits hinder trade and work against the potential gains from comparative advantage.<\/p>\n<p>A country like the U.S. runs an annual trade deficit with a partner country when Americans buy more goods and services from the partner than they sell to it. As a result, money flows out of the U.S. to the country, which sounds bad.<\/p>\n<p>But that\u2019s not the end of the story. Those foreigners with the trade surplus \u2013 let\u2019s say in China \u2013 now have extra saving that needs to be put to work. A lack of productive investment opportunities at home means they look to other countries \u2013 like the U.S. \u2013 to profitably use their money.<\/p>\n<p>In other words, money flowing out to pay for imports flows back in to help pay for productive investment in new capital. The U.S. is an appealing place for the Chinese to put their money because the U.S. is really good at producing capital goods. Put another way, it has a comparative advantage in investment.<\/p>\n<p>In 2017, Americans bought about <a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/series\/BOPGSTB\">US$552 billion<\/a> more goods and services from abroad than foreigners purchased from the U.S. But foreigners sent about that amount right back to the U.S. to help American businesses build factories, create jobs and increase growth.<\/p>\n<p>In short, trade deficits mean that international capital markets are working the way they should. They do not imply a loss of American wealth, or that other countries are \u201c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.usnews.com\/news\/business\/articles\/2018-02-12\/trump-threatens-tax-on-countries-that-exploit-us-trade\">taking advantage<\/a>\u201d of the U.S.<\/p>\n<h2>Richer as a result<\/h2>\n<p>In general, trade imbalances are driven by natural market forces and reflect efficient borrowing and lending across the globe. And while it is always important to consider the consequences of <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1257\/jep.32.2.73\">international trade<\/a> for inequality and the <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1257\/jep.32.2.47\">distribution of the gains from trade<\/a> \u2013 there are no guarantees that those gains will be evenly distributed \u2013 the end result is higher overall global economic growth.<\/p>\n<p>Trade deficits can be a problem when those deficits are due to government borrowing in countries with weak economic and political institutions, or in smaller countries where free capital flows might be destabilizing.<\/p>\n<p>But for well-functioning economies like the U.S., trade deficits are not an inherent problem. In fact, we\u2019re better off having trade deficits than imposing tariffs and restrictive trade policies to prevent them.<\/p>\n<p>Trade deficits make America great.<!-- Below is The Conversation's page counter tag. Please DO NOT REMOVE. --><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" style=\"border: none !important; box-shadow: none !important; margin: 0 !important; max-height: 1px !important; max-width: 1px !important; min-height: 1px !important; min-width: 1px !important; opacity: 0 !important; outline: none !important; padding: 0 !important; text-shadow: none !important;\" src=\"https:\/\/counter.theconversation.com\/content\/104358\/count.gif?distributor=republish-lightbox-basic\" alt=\"The Conversation\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\" \/><!-- End of code. If you don't see any code above, please get new code from the Advanced tab after you click the republish button. The page counter does not collect any personal data. More info: http:\/\/theconversation.com\/republishing-guidelines --><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/profiles\/william-d-lastrapes-159364\">William D. Lastrapes<\/a>, Professor of Economics, <em><a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\/institutions\/university-of-georgia-1547\">University of Georgia<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<p>This article is republished from <a href=\"http:\/\/theconversation.com\">The Conversation<\/a> under a Creative Commons license.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>By William D. Lastrapes | October 4, 2018 Most Americans seem to think international trade deficits are a bad thing. A March poll, for example, showed that more than two-thirds think the U.S. should take steps to reduce the trade deficit with China, even if a resulting trade war drives up consumer prices. That\u2019s in\u2026 <span class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/2018\/10\/04\/why-trade-deficits-arent-so-bad\/\">Read More &raquo;<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1654,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[10,9,15],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1652"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1652"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1652\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1657,"href":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1652\/revisions\/1657"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1654"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1652"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1652"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/www.adamsmithnow.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1652"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}